Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000697 0.000792 0.000894 0.001009 0.001135 0.001269 0.001423
2025-08-24 0.000534 0.000664 0.000811 0.000988 0.001195 0.001428 0.001709
2025-08-31 0.000438 0.000580 0.000747 0.000959 0.001215 0.001513 0.001885
2025-09-07 0.000378 0.000528 0.000714 0.000956 0.001260 0.001624 0.002089
2025-09-14 0.000331 0.000487 0.000686 0.000955 0.001301 0.001726 0.002282
2025-09-21 0.000289 0.000447 0.000655 0.000943 0.001325 0.001806 0.002446
2025-09-28 0.000252 0.000408 0.000621 0.000925 0.001338 0.001868 0.002587
2025-10-05 0.000234 0.000394 0.000620 0.000949 0.001404 0.001999 0.002819
2025-10-12 0.000217 0.000379 0.000615 0.000966 0.001462 0.002120 0.003039
2025-10-19 0.000194 0.000354 0.000593 0.000957 0.001482 0.002190 0.003193
2025-10-26 0.000174 0.000331 0.000571 0.000947 0.001498 0.002253 0.003338
2025-11-02 0.000161 0.000317 0.000563 0.000956 0.001542 0.002355 0.003537
2025-11-09 0.000146 0.000300 0.000549 0.000955 0.001571 0.002438 0.003714
2025-11-16 0.000127 0.000274 0.000518 0.000927 0.001559 0.002463 0.003810
2025-11-23 0.000111 0.000251 0.000491 0.000901 0.001548 0.002488 0.003906
2025-11-30 0.000101 0.000237 0.000478 0.000898 0.001571 0.002561 0.004071
2025-12-07 0.000092 0.000225 0.000467 0.000897 0.001596 0.002638 0.004242
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000211 0.000451 0.000886 0.001606 0.002691 0.004379
2025-12-21 0.000073 0.000196 0.000431 0.000869 0.001604 0.002726 0.004491
2025-12-28 0.000070 0.000193 0.000435 0.000891 0.001666 0.002860 0.004749
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000189 0.000436 0.000908 0.001719 0.002980 0.004990
2026-01-11 0.000060 0.000179 0.000423 0.000899 0.001731 0.003036 0.005137
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000168 0.000409 0.000889 0.001738 0.003086 0.005273